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German population set to shrink 5% by 2050

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German population set to shrink 5% by 2050

Germany’s population is projected to decline by 5% by the year 2050, according to updated findings from the Ifo Institute. This downward trend marks a more severe demographic shift than earlier estimates suggested, highlighting growing concerns over long-term economic and social sustainability. The forecast underscores the impact of low birth rates, aging populations, and limited immigration gains on the country's future workforce and public services.

The projection comes amid broader European demographic challenges, but Germany’s size and economic significance make its decline particularly consequential. Policymakers are now under increasing pressure to address labor shortages and pension system strain through reforms in migration policy, retirement age, and family support measures. These developments could influence economic planning across the continent in the coming decades.

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