Russia may gain economically and strategically from the ongoing conflict involving Iran, particularly in the short term. Rising global energy prices benefit Russia’s economy, especially as it continues oil exports under relaxed U.S. sanctions. The country remains one of the few with sustained diplomatic and military ties to Iran, enabling cooperation that supports Russia’s war effort in Ukraine. These connections could strengthen Moscow’s position if regional tensions escalate further.
The outcome of potential U.S.-Israeli actions against Iran could influence Russia’s strategic posture. While such developments might pose risks, they also offer opportunities for Russia to deepen its role as a key ally to Iran. Maintaining this relationship allows Moscow to expand its influence in the Middle East and secure access to critical infrastructure and markets. However, long-term gains depend on how regional dynamics evolve following any major escalation.